Lately, you can’t turn on the television or go on the internet without hearing or reading the word “recession.” It seems to be the latest buzzword with economists. Hi, I’m Tanja Odzak, Our East Bay Home brokered by eXp Realty… and I sell homes in the East Bay on both sides of the tunnel.
Probably the question I am most asked these days is, “If we are in a recession, will the housing market crash again like in 2008?” So, let’s break it down. Since the 2008 housing bubble burst, the word recession has a stronger emotional meaning today when it comes to housing, as most buyers and sellers do not want to see a repeat of the financial housing crisis.
According to the experts, if we were officially in a recession today, it would likely be more mild, and the housing market should rebound more quickly than it did in 2008. According to Ali Wolk, chief economist at Zonda, “Housing is traditionally one of the first sectors to slow as the economy shifts but is also one of the first to rebound.” So, how is today’s housing market different from the market crash of 2008? Unlike the 2008 crash, experts do not predict widespread unemployment with homeowners unable to pay their mortgages, causing foreclosures and short sales.
Also, lenders have learned from the past and established new lending guidelines where only buyers with a consistent and verifiable income can qualify for a mortgage. More importantly, current data shows Millennials want more housing, creating a demand that will keep the market from crashing. According to the National Association of Realtors, first-time buyers under the age of 40 were responsible for 30% of sales this year, keeping housing in high demand even with the market slowing down and with lower inventory.
A market crash happens when there is an oversupply of inventory, which isn’t the case right now… has not been at all in the East Bay this whole year. Bottom line, if we are moving into a recession, the housing market will see some corrections, but most experts predict we will not see the housing crash of 2008. As always, if you need more information on the market and are considering selling or buying, reach out to my team and me to connect.
And if you’re thinking about selling, ask me about my tiered home selling plans where you get to pick which real estate services you want and the fee you pay… Most of the them offering my super duper digital marketing that… no one else does in our area. I’m Tanja and I sell houses. I offer simplified and transparent choices!
I’m a Top Producing Realtor® in the OAKLAND / BERKELEY / EAST BAY AREA. I’ve been in the San Francisco East Bay Area since I came up to do my undergrad at UC Berkeley (a long time ago!), with a short stint at UC Davis while getting my Master’s. I take my duties as a Realtor® and Fiduciary very seriously, I enjoy educating my sellers and buyers along the way. Putting People, Before Profit.
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